Industry Report: Paving Contractors

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Industry: Paving Contractors

Naics: 238990

Private Company Multiples

Industry Overview

The Paving Contractors industry has experienced significant changes. Revenue has declined at a 1.0% CAGR to $23.1 billion, with a 1.8% drop in 2023; however margins remained relatively stable. This indicates that operators are adapting and maintaining margins despite revenue shrinkage.

Nonresidential construction decreased due to health restrictions, while residential projects increased. Homeowners, with more time and resources, invested in driveway upgrades.

The economic landscape has shifted these past few years. High interest rates are slowing residential construction. Simultaneously, nonresidential projects are rebounding.

During the first half of the period, several factors benefited the industry. Low interest rates, increased disposable income, and healthy corporate profits encouraged investment in paving projects. Housing starts and home improvement spending increased.

The Fed's efforts to combat inflation changed this dynamic. As interest rates rose, the residential market cooled. The nonresidential market is now compensating for this decline. Businesses are reinvesting, leading to a resurgence in commercial projects.

This trend is expected to continue. The industry is projected to grow at a 1.4% CAGR, reaching $24.8 billion. Profit margins are forecast to remain at 6.8%. This growth is notable given the challenges in the residential sector.

For industry participants, adaptation is crucial. Success will come to those who can shift between residential and nonresidential markets in response to economic changes.

The industry now requires more than technical skill. It demands understanding of economic indicators, anticipation of market shifts, and strategic positioning to capitalize on opportunities.

Key Financial Metrics

Income Statement Benchmark

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